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		<title>Finanzkrise und Anlagestrategie</title>
		<link>http://diahdani.wordpress.com/2008/04/21/finanzkrise-und-anlagestrategie/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Apr 2008 08:39:34 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Der Dax hat seit Januar mehr als 20 Prozent an Wert verloren, eine renommierte Investmentbank wie Bear Stearns ist nur durch eine Übernahme zu retten, alle paar Wochen versucht die Fed der Lage in den USA durch eine Zinssenkung Herr zu werden, die Aufzählung könnte noch weiter gehen. Da frage ich mich als Kleinanleger, was [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=diahdani.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2914020&amp;post=9&amp;subd=diahdani&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Der Dax hat seit Januar mehr als 20 Prozent an Wert verloren, eine renommierte Investmentb<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>k wie Bear Stearns ist nur durch e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>e Übernahme zu retten, alle paar <span class="hilite"><span style="background-color:#99ccff;">Wo</span></span>chen versucht die Fed der Lage in den USA durch eine Z<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>ssenkung Herr zu werden, die Aufzählung könnte noch weiter gehen.</p>
<p>Da frage ich mich als Kle<span style="background-color:#ff9999;"><span class="hilite3">in</span><span class="hilite3">an</span></span>leger, was die beste Strategie für die nächsten Monate ist, das eigene Vermögen zu sichern. Raus aus den Aktien? Oder wie jetzt?</p>
<h3>Aktien verkaufen oder Krise aussitzen?</h3>
<p>Da generell gilt, dass Aktienanlagen langfristige Anlagen sein sollten, sollten Anleger, die derzeit in Aktien investiert sind, mit 2 bis 3 Jahren rechnen, bevor das Investment sich wieder rentiert. Ein ausgewogen strukturiertes Anlageportfolio mit Aktien, Anleihen, Fonds muss nicht unbedingt verändert werden. Renditeberechnungen bei <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">An</span></span>lagen basieren immer auf einer Mischkalkulation: ein Teil macht sensationelle Rendite, e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> Teil macht Verlust, der Rest ist irgend<span class="hilite"><span style="background-color:#99ccff;">wo</span></span> mittendrin. Wer dagegen se<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">Geld</span></span> so lange nicht entbehren k<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>n, steigt besser jetzt aus.</p>
<h3>Jetzt e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>steigen bei den günstigen Kursen?</h3>
<p>Es lässt sich derzeit schwer sagen, ob der Boden schon erreicht ist, oder ob noch mit weiteren Kursverlusten zu rechnen ist. Die Märkte sind unruhig, mal 2% runter <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span> e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>em Tag, mal 1,5% rauf <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">am</span></span> nächsten. Die Experten der Banken schwanken zwischen der Empfehlung, für mittel- bis l<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>gfristige Engagements jetzt einzusteigen oder noch bis nach dem Sommer abzuwarten. Wer risikobewusst ist und einsteigen möchte, sollte das auf jeden Fall <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> mehreren über das Jahr verteilten Beträgen schrittweise tun.</p>
<h3>Fondssparpl<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span> stoppen?</h3>
<p>Frank Bock, Sprecher des Bundesverb<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>des Deutscher <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">In</span></span>vestment-Gesellschaften, empfiehlt langfristig orientierten Fondssparern derzeit, ihre Sparpläne weiterzuführen. Der Grund dafür ist der so gen<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>nte <a href="http://www.focus.de/finanzen/boerse/fonds/tid-5652/fondssparen_aid_55255.html"><span style="color:#000000;">Cost-Average Effekt</span></a>: „Wenn Anleger monatlich feste Beträge in Investmentfonds anlegen, bekommen sie in Zeiten sinkender Kurse mehr <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">An</span></span>teile für ihre feste Rate.“ Damit vergünstigt sich bei fallenden Kursen automatisch der Einstiegskurs, wenn weiter gekauft wird. Wer gerade jetzt mit dem Sparen aufhört, bringt sich selbst genau um diesen Effekt. Zwischenzeitliche Kursverluste sind bei Fondssparplänen ke<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> Problem. Wichtiger ist es, wie die Kurse zum Ende der Laufzeit stehen. Bei niedrigen Kursen lohnt es d<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>n meist, die Laufzeit zu verlängern, bis die Kurse besser stehen, weil das die Ges<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">am</span></span>trendite deutlich verbessern k<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>n.</p>
<h3>Was ist mit Riester Fondssparplänen?</h3>
<p>Für Riester Fondssparpläne gilt im Prinzip das gleiche wie zuvor gesagt, mit einer Ergänzung: Die Riester Verträge enthalten normalerweise eine Kapitalgar<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>tie. Das bedeutet, dass zum Ende der Laufzeit immer 100% der Einzahlungen und Zulagen ausgezahlt werden müssen. Dies gilt allerdings nicht bei vorzeitiger Kündigung. E<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> Grund mehr, Riester-Verträge auf jeden Fall laufen zu lassen.</p>
<h3>Und was gibt es für krisenfeste <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">An</span></span>lageformen?</h3>
<p>Rendite und Risiko verhalten sich typischerweise umgekehrt proportional. Demnach s<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>d jetzt genau die renditeärmeren Produkte gefragt, beispielsweise Festgeld oder Tages<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">geld</span></span>: Die Zinsen für diese Anlagen stehen im Voraus fest und können jeweils erst zum Ende eines vereinbarten Anlagezeitraums <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>gepasst werden. Aktuell s<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>d derzeit bis zu 5% zu holen. Wichtig ist jedoch, dass die B<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>k, bei der <span class="hilite2"><span style="background-color:#99ff66;">m</span><span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span></span> sein Geld <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>legt, dem E<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>lagensicherungsfonds des deutschen Bankgewerbes angehört &#8211; dann ist das <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>gelegte <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">Geld</span></span> auch bei e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>er Pleite der B<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>k geschützt.<br />
Für die Sicherheit von Bundesschatzbriefen und anderen Bundeswertpapieren gar<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>tiert der deutsche Staat, aber diese Sicherheit wird mit entsprechend niedrigen Renditen von derzeit 3% bis 3,5% erkauft.<br />
Eine weitere Alternative s<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>d <a href="http://anleihen.onvista.de/basiswissen.html"><span style="color:#000000;"><span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">An</span></span>leihen</span></a> von B<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>ken oder Unternehmen.</p>
<h3>Wie sicher s<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>d Rentenfonds?</h3>
<p><a href="http://www.fidelity.de/knowhow/invest/volatility/bondmkt.html"><span style="color:#000000;">Rentenfonds</span></a> investieren in verschiedene der oben genannten festverzinslichen Anlageformen und diversifizieren damit das Risiko, allerdings berechnen Fondsgesellschaften auch Verwaltungsgebühren. Der Verlust des eingesetzten Kapitals ist bei Rentenfonds sehr unwahrscheinlich, solange der Fonds auf Qualitätsanleihen mit guten Ratings setzt. In Zeiten sinkender Zinsen &#8211; wie jetzt gerade &#8211; profitieren Rentenfonds, denn sinkende Zinsen bedeuten steigende Kurse für Anleihen, die bereits am Markt sind, weil sie für <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">An</span></span>leger attraktiver werden als neue, niedriger verz<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>ste Papiere. D<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">am</span></span>it sind Rentenfonds e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>e gute Möglichkeit, das <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">An</span></span>lageportfolio zu diversifizieren.</p>
<h3>S<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>d Kapitallebensversicherungen sicher?</h3>
<p>Die Kapitallebensversicherung gilt als der Inbegriff von Sicherheit, stellt aber leider keine wirklich gute Kapitalanlageform dar. Die Rendite beruht zum großen Teil auf der Überschussbeteiligung des Versicherers, deren Höhe jedes Jahr neu aufgrund der erzielten Renditen aus dem Anlagegeschick der Versicherungsgesellschaft bestimmt wird. Die beim Abschluss gen<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>nten Ablaufbeträge sind im Normalfall reine Schätzungen &#8211; die zumindest bei me<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>en Verträgen Jahr für Jahr nach unten korrigiert wurden. Denn die durchschnittliche Ges<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">am</span></span>tverzinsung ist in den letzten Jahren von 7% auf um die 4% gesunken, der Gar<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>tiez<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>s <span class="hilite1"><span style="background-color:#ffcc66;">liegt</span></span> inzwischen sogar meist unter 3%. Nach den jüngsten Zinssenkungen <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> den USA muss d<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">am</span></span>it gerechnet werden, dass die Lebensversicherer noch geringere Renditen einfahren &#8211; die d<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>n entsprechend auf die Verträge durchschlagen. Ein gesetzlicher Sicherungsfonds sorgt allerdings dafür, dass selbst bei der Pleite einer Lebensversicherungsgesellschaft die Leistungen aus dem Vertrag gesichert s<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>d.</p>
<h3>Mit Gar<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>tiezertifikaten auf der sicheren Seite?</h3>
<p>Im Prinzip können Anleger mit Garantiezertifikaten <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span> der positiven Entwicklung auf dem Aktienmarkt teilnehmen ohne das Risiko eines Kapitalverlusts einzugehen. Das kl<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>gt, als bekomme <span class="hilite2"><span style="background-color:#99ff66;">m</span><span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span></span> da das beste aus beiden Welten. In der Praxis jedoch wird die Risikominimierung mit einer Renditeminimierung bezahlt. FIN<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">AN</span></span>Ztest hat kürzlich e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>ige <a href="http://www.test.de/themen/geldanlage-banken/test/-Garantiezertifikate/1574599/1574599/1579231/"><span style="color:#000000;">Gar<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>tiezertifikate getestet</span></a> &#8211; mit ernüchterndem Ergebnis: “Nur ein Produkt bietet <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">An</span></span>legern faire Gew<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>nch<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>cen.”</p>
<h3>Jetzt noch in Gold e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>steigen?</h3>
<p>Gold gilt als die Krisenwährung schlechthin. Daher hat sich im vergangenen halben Jahr das Interesse der <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">An</span></span>leger darauf konzentriert, der Goldpreis ist um über 50 Prozent gestiegen und hat inzwischen die 1000 Dollar Marke überschritten. Denn Gold ist ein solider Sachwert und damit inflationssicher. Vermögensberater empfehlen, etwa 10 Prozent des Vermögens in Gold zu investieren, als sicherheitsorientierte Beimischung zum Portfolio. Hohe Renditen sind aufgrund des bereits sehr hohen Niveaus dagegen jetzt nicht mehr zu erwarten, eher muss mit einem leichten Sinken des Preises gerechnet werden. Eventuell s<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>d <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>dere Rohstoffe vorzuziehen, <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">am</span></span> <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">besten</span></span> <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> Form von ausge<span class="hilite"><span style="background-color:#99ccff;">wo</span></span>genen Rohstoff-Indexfonds, den hier sorgt das Verhältnis von <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">An</span></span>gebot und Nachfrage weiterhin für steigende Preise, und die <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">In</span></span>flation wirkt sich sogar positiv auf die Rendite aus.</p>
<h3>Und Betongold, sprich Immobilien?</h3>
<p>Aufgrund der niedrigen Zinsen kann sich die Investition in Immobilien durchaus lohnen. Es ist eher nicht zu erwarten, dass die Immobilienkrise in den USA auf den deutschen Markt durchschlägt, da in Deutschl<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>d der Immobilienmarkt wesentlich weniger spekulativ ist und Kredite deutlich strikter vergeben wurden und werden als in den USA. Die Immobilie zur Selbstnutzung wird damit voraussichtlich wertstabil bleiben. Für Immobilien als re<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>e <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">Geld</span></span>anlage gilt dagegen noch mehr als immer schon die Binsenweisheit von den drei wichtigsten Kriterien beim Immobilienkauf: Lage, Lage, und Lage. Interess<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>t mit potentieller Wertsteigerung sind höchstens Immobilien in guter Lage in Ballungsräumen. <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">In</span></span> wirtschaftsschwachen oder ländlichen Regionen ist d<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">am</span></span>it ke<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> Geschäft zu machen.</p>
<h3>Wie setzt <span class="hilite2"><span style="background-color:#99ff66;">m</span><span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span></span> Verluste von der Steuer ab?</h3>
<p>Spekulationsverluste können mit Spekulationsgewinnen verrechnet werden &#8211; aber nicht mit Zinsgewinnen oder <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>deren Einkommensarten. Das F<span style="background-color:#ff9999;"><span class="hilite3">in</span><span class="hilite3">an</span></span>z<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">am</span></span>t betrachtet zudem Kursverluste nur dann als verrechenbare Spekulationsverluste, wenn diese innerhalb der “Spekulationsfrist” von 12 Monaten nach dem Kauf durch Verkauf auch wirklich realisiert wurden. Die Daten sind in der Anlage SO der Einkommensteuererklärung anzugeben, wenn sie nicht direkt bei der Bank verrechnet wurden, sofern sie in einem einzelnen Depot <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>gefallen s<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>d.</p>
<h3>Fazit</h3>
<p>Auch in der Krise gibt es viele Optionen, und nach wie vor ist eine Strategie am wichtigsten: “Nicht alle Eier in e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>en Korb legen”, also diversifizieren. L<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>gfristig fährt derjenige <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">am</span></span> <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">besten</span></span>, der e<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> ausge<span class="hilite"><span style="background-color:#99ccff;">wo</span></span>genes Portfolio besitzt mit einer Mischung aus sicheren, aber niedrig verzinsten Anlagen, deutschen, internationalen und Schwellenländer-Fonds, Rohstoffen und Immobilien. Wessen Vermögen für diese Art der Diversifikation (noch) nicht ausreicht, der sollte nach dem Aufbau einer Liquiditätsreserve zunächst mit möglichst breit investierenden Aktienfonds einsteigen. Aktien-Einzeltitel sind für den Beginn des Vermögensaufbaus denkbar ungeeignet, selbst wen es sich um vermeintlich “todsichere Tipps” h<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>delt &#8211; denn das Risiko, alles auf ein einzelnes Unternehmen zu setzen, ist ungleich höher, als se<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span> <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">Geld</span></span> auf mehrere Unternehmen oder eine g<span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span>ze Region zu setzen, <span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">in</span></span>dem <span class="hilite2"><span style="background-color:#99ff66;">m</span><span class="hilite3"><span style="background-color:#ff9999;">an</span></span></span> Aktienfonds kauft.</p>
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		<title>Forex Market Time (Zone Germany)</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Feb 2008 11:14:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>diahdani</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economic & financial]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Forex market time for Germany Forex Market Center Time Zone Opens Berlin Closes Berlin Frankfurt Germany Europe/Berlin 08:00 AM 04:00 PM London Great Britain Europe/London 09:00 AM 05:00 PM New York United States America/New_York 02:00 PM 10:00 PM Sydney Austrailia Australia/Sydney 10:00 PM 06:00 AM Tokyo Japan Asia/Tokyo 12:00 AM 08:00 AM  http://forex.timezoneconverter.com <img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=diahdani.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2914020&amp;post=8&amp;subd=diahdani&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<title>Important Rules of Technical Trading</title>
		<link>http://diahdani.wordpress.com/2008/02/22/important-rules-of-technical-trading/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Feb 2008 05:31:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>diahdani</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economic & financial]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[1. Map the Trends Study long-term charts. Begin a chart analysis with monthly and weekly charts spanning several years. A larger scale &#8220;map of the market&#8221; provides more visibility and a better long-term perspective on a market. Once the long-term has been established, then consult daily and intra-day charts. A short-term market view alone can [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=diahdani.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2914020&amp;post=7&amp;subd=diahdani&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p align="justify"><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>1. Map the Trends</b></font><br />
Study long-term charts. Begin a chart analysis with monthly and weekly charts spanning several years. A larger scale &#8220;map of the market&#8221; provides more visibility and a better long-term perspective on a market. Once the long-term has been established, then consult daily and intra-day charts. A short-term market view alone can often be deceptive. Even if you only trade the very short term, you will do better if you&#8217;re trading in the same direction as the intermediate and longer term trends.</p>
<p><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>2. Spot the Trend and Go With It</b></font><br />
Determine the trend and follow it. Market trends come in many sizes &#8212; long-term, intermediate-term and short-term. First, determine which one you&#8217;re going to trade and use the appropriate chart. Make sure you trade in the direction of that trend. Buy dips if the trend is up. Sell rallies if the trend is down. If you&#8217;re trading the intermediate trend, use daily and weekly charts. If you&#8217;re day trading, use daily and intra-day charts. But in each case, let the longer range chart determine the trend, and then use the shorter term chart for timing.</p>
<p><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>3. Find the Low and High of It</b></font><br />
Find support and resistance levels. The best place to buy a market is near support levels. That support is usually a previous reaction low. The best place to sell a market is near resistance levels. Resistance is usually a previous peak. After a resistance peak has been broken, it will usually provide support on subsequent pullbacks. In other words, the old &#8220;high&#8221; becomes the new &#8220;low.&#8221; In the same way, when a support level has been broken, it will usually produce selling on subsequent rallies &#8212; the old &#8220;low&#8221; can become the new &#8220;high.&#8221;</p>
<p><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>4. Know How Far to Backtrack</b></font><br />
Measure percentage retracements. Market corrections up or down usually retrace a significant portion of the previous trend. You can measure the corrections in an existing trend in simple percentages. A fifty percent retracement of a prior trend is most common. A minimum retracement is usually one-third of the prior trend. The maximum retracement is usually two-thirds. Fibonacci retracements of 38% and 62% are also worth watching. During a pullback in an uptrend, therefore, initial buy points are in the 33-38% retracement area.</p>
<p><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>5. Draw the Line</b></font><br />
Draw trend lines. Trend lines are one of the simplest and most effective charting tools. All you need is a straight edge and two points on the chart. Up trend lines are drawn along two successive lows. Down trend lines are drawn along two successive peaks. Prices will often pull back to trend lines before resuming their trend. The breaking of trend lines usually signals a change in trend. A valid trend line should be touched at least three times. The longer a trend line has been in effect, and the more times it has been tested, the more important it becomes.</p>
<p><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>6. Follow that Average</b></font><br />
Follow moving averages. Moving averages provide objective buy and sell signals. They tell you if existing trend is still in motion and help confirm a trend change. Moving averages do not tell you in advance, however, that a trend change is imminent. A combination chart of two moving averages is the most popular way of finding trading signals. Some popular futures combinations are 4- and 9-day moving averages, 9- and 18-day, 5- and 20-day. Signals are given when the shorter average line crosses the longer. Price crossings above and below a 40-day moving average also provide good trading signals. Since moving average chart lines are trend-following indicators, they work best in a trending market.</p>
<p><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>7. Learn the Turns</b></font><br />
Track oscillators. Oscillators help identify overbought and oversold markets. While moving averages offer confirmation of a market trend change, oscillators often help warn us in advance that a market has rallied or fallen too far and will soon turn. Two of the most popular are the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastics. They both work on a scale of 0 to 100. With the RSI, readings over 70 are overbought while readings below 30 are oversold. The overbought and oversold values for Stochastics are 80 and 20. Most traders use 14-days or weeks for stochastics and either 9 or 14 days or weeks for RSI. Oscillator divergences often warn of market turns. These tools work best in a trading market range. Weekly signals can be used as filters on daily signals. Daily signals can be used as filters for intra-day charts.</p>
<p><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>8. Know the Warning Signs</b></font><br />
Trade MACD. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator (developed by Gerald Appel) combines a moving average crossover system with the overbought/oversold elements of an oscillator. A buy signal occurs when the faster line crosses above the slower and both lines are below zero. A sell signal takes place when the faster line crosses below the slower from above the zero line. Weekly signals take precedence over daily signals. An MACD histogram plots the difference between the two lines and gives even earlier warnings of trend changes. It&#8217;s called a &#8220;histogram&#8221; because vertical bars are used to show the difference between the two lines on the chart.</p>
<p><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>9. Trend or Not a Trend</b></font><br />
Use ADX. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) line helps determine whether a market is in a trending or a trading phase. It measures the degree of trend or direction in the market. A rising ADX line suggests the presence of a strong trend. A falling ADX line suggests the presence of a trading market and the absence of a trend. A rising ADX line favors moving averages; a falling ADX favors oscillators. By plotting the direction of the ADX line, the trader is able to determine which trading style and which set of indicators are most suitable for the current market environment.</p>
<p><font size="4" color="#336633"><b>10. Know the Confirming Signs</b></font><br />
Include volume and open interest. Volume and open interest are important confirming indicators in futures markets. Volume precedes price. It&#8217;s important to ensure that heavier volume is taking place in the direction of the prevailing trend. In an uptrend, heavier volume should be seen on up days. Rising open interest confirms that new money is supporting the prevailing trend. Declining open interest is often a warning that the trend is near completion. A solid price uptrend should be accompanied by rising volume and rising open interest.</p>
<p>Technical analysis is a skill that improves with experience and study. Always be a student and keep learning.</p>
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		<title>Get rich, sitting at home</title>
		<link>http://diahdani.wordpress.com/2008/02/22/get-rich-sitting-at-home/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Feb 2008 05:19:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>diahdani</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economic & financial]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[by Larissa Fernand When Azra Kaiser wakes up every morning, she assumes the role of a regular housewife with regular household chores &#8212; cook food, pack lunch boxes, see husband and kids off (to work and school respectively) and get the house tidied up. Come 10 am, when the stock market opens, she is either on the [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=diahdani.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2914020&amp;post=6&amp;subd=diahdani&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>by <font size="+0"><strong>Larissa Fernand</strong></font></p>
<p><font size="3"><font size="2"><font size="6" color="#800000">W</font>hen Azra Kaiser wakes up every morning, she assumes the role of a regular housewife with regular household chores &#8212; c</font></font><font size="2">ook food, pack lunch boxes, see husband and kids off (to work and school respectively) and get the house tidied up. </font></font><font size="3"><font size="2">Come 10 am, when the stock market opens, she is either on the computer or talking on the phone or checking the television channel, CNBC. The demure housewife is transformed into an aggressive stock trader. </font></font><font size="3"><font size="2">Once trading shuts for the day (3.30 pm), the transformation from a trader to a housewife is instant. She prepares a snack for her kids who return from school, sits with them while they do their homework and then prepares dinner.</font></font></p>
<p><font size="3"><font size="2">Later in the night, she will tell her husband how much she made (or lost).</font></font><font size="3"><font size="2">Welcome to a world where housewives are fast stepping into the trading ring. </font></font><font size="3"><font size="2">The new breed</font></p>
<p><font size="2">Trading is no longer the exclusive domain of men. Not only are professional women fast getting into the act, housewives are doing so too. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">For one, it has never been more convenient. All you need to do is open a demat account (to hold all your shares electronically) and get an <a target="New" href="http://in.rediff.com/getahead/2005/oct/20online.htm">online internet broker</a>. </font><font size="2">That&#8217;s it. You can now buy and sell shares without leaving your home. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">It was convenience that enticed Sheba John towards online trading. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">A chartered accountant in her 20s, she decided to take a few years off her career to look after her new-born son. But, when she found herself bored and restless, she decided to play the stock market. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Today, she is hooked. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">If you find yourself taking a sabbatical or a break from work and want to be a stock market player, you definitely can do so today. Here are some pointers given by women who have taken the plunge. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">1. Decide whether you want to be an investor or a trader. </font></p>
<p><font size="2" face="Arial">A lot of women buy shares but that does not make them traders; they are just investors. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">An investor will think long-term. He will analyse the fundamentals of the company before buying the shares and then hold on to them for a number of years. Over time, he will get dividends from the company, maybe <a target="New" href="http://in.rediff.com/getahead/2005/may/19shares.htm">bonus shares</a> and the share price will increase. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">A trader is not that far-sighted and will continuously buy and sell shares. So, if the trader feels that Infosys will go up in a few days, he will buy Infosys shares today and sell them in a day or two for a small profit. He will then wait for it to dip again before making another purchase. Or, even if it does not dip but he feels it is going to go higher, he will once again buy and then sell when the price is right. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">If he conducts the above transactions (buy and sell) within a day, he is referred to as a day trader. Day traders are those who buy/ sell stocks during the day and square up their position by the end of the day. This means they either book a profit or a loss. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">So, you have to first decide whether your mental stamina and emotional mindset are geared towards trading or investing. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">2. Get acquainted with the basics</font></p>
<p><font size="2">Women often feel intimidated about participating in the stock market. This fear can be eliminated by knowledge. So work on increasing your awareness.</font></p>
<p><font size="2">The Bombay Stock Exchange has a number of courses to increase your stock market awareness. You could go on to their <a target="new" href="http://www.bseindia.com/">Web site</a> to check out the <a target="New" href="http://www.bseindia.com/training/programs_sub.asp">programmes</a> </font><font size="2">and the relevant <a target="New" href="http://www.bseindia.com/training/feestructure.asp">fees</a>. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Get your hands on some good reading material. Read the financial dailies and a few business magazines. Surf the Internet for dedicated finance portals and watch the CNBC channel on television.</font></p>
<p><font size="2">3. Put the infrastructure in place</font></p>
<p><font size="2">First of all, you will need a computer. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">This is all the more essential if you plan to open an online trading account. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">If you cannot get one right away, ask your online broker if clients are allowed to walk into their branches to trade. A number of them allow it. They have terminals set up in all their offices for their clients. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">If you don&#8217;t have an online trading account, you will then have to call your broker or sub-broker and tell them which shares you want to buy or sell. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Even if you figure that you don&#8217;t need a computer as a dire necessity, do remember you will need it for surfing. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">When you do get a computer, it will be better if you opt for a broadband connection rather than a Dialup Internet Connection.</font></p>
<p><font size="2">Also, you will have to open a demat account since all shares are now electronically held. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">4. Start with a hypothetical account</font></p>
<p><font size="2">Once you are ready to start trading, play the game without real money being involved. Sheba John did this for around three months before parting with hard cash. She recommends it for any beginner.  </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Her husband would suggest some stocks (though he was not into finance) and so would a friend. She would bounce it off her sub-broker friend too, read the various finance portals and do a bit of follow up. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">She began to make note of who is suggesting what and saw how their suggestions perform over time. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">&#8220;Record successes and failures as if you were trading with real money. See how you feel when you lose,&#8221; she advises. &#8220;Can you stomach it?&#8221;</font></p>
<p><font size="2">5. Keep your distance</font></p>
<p><font size="2">&#8220;This is just part of your life, not your life. View it as a job that has to be done. Learn to be detached,&#8221; suggests Azra.</font></p>
<p><font size="2">Don&#8217;t let it become an obsession. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">&#8220;Learn not to get too emotionally involved,&#8221; says Sheba. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Making losses is inevitable. Don&#8217;t take it as a personal failure. &#8220;If you have bought a stock that is losing, it is better to sell than to hopelessly wait for it to rise. If you are not emotionally involved, it is easier to cut your losses.&#8221; </font></p>
<p><font size="2">6. Play safe</font></p>
<p><font size="2">Don&#8217;t put in all your savings into stocks. It is way too risky. From your entire savings, decide how much you are willing to stake on this. Put the balance in safe instruments like post office deposits and the Public Provident Fund. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Sheba started with Rs 40,000. She invested all the profits she made back back into the stock market. Her initial investment was her seed money and she built up on it. Now, a little over a year down the road, her investments are worth a few lakh. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Azra too started with just around Rs 30,000. Not only has this amount increased substantially, she even did some investments for her mother-in-law. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">7. Set your own rules </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Remember, you are nobody&#8217;s boss. You call the shots. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">When I visited Nasreen Merchant in the morning, she was watching CNBC and sipping a cup of coffee. Her mother-in-law then wanted to watch television so Nasreen began surfing. She was not planning on buying or selling that day, so she was quite relaxed. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">How does it feel being a trader from a conservative Muslim family? </font></p>
<p><font size="2">&#8220;Great,&#8221; is her quick reply. &#8220;I work from home, I take my breaks to do <i>namaaz</i> and I take care of my family.&#8221; </font></p>
<p><font size="2">&#8220;I also set my own pace and rules,&#8221; she continues. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Being a Muslim, she cannot gamble and so will not short sell. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Let&#8217;s say a trader feels that the price of Infosys is going to drop to Rs 1,300. So the trader will go short on Infosys. Which means, the trader will sell Infosys shares for Rs 1,300 now (though he does not own them). And, when the price falls to say, Rs 1,250, he will buy them. This way, he makes a profit. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">&#8220;Selling a share I don&#8217;t own is gambling. I am a trader, not a gambler,&#8221; she asserts.</font></p>
<p><font size="2">Neither will she buy the shares of a liquor company, tobacco company or a even media company if it is involved in unethical programming. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">At the end of the day, these are just suggestions from smart women who have dared to do something different. </font></p>
<p><font size="2">Do remember, though, that equity is risky. If you do decide to jump into it, you could lose a lot. Also remember we are riding a <a target="New" href="http://www.rediff.com//getahead/bull.htm/">bull run</a>. Things could get nasty if the reverse takes place and the market plummets. </font></p>
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		<title>Selling Stocks Short: Permissible?</title>
		<link>http://diahdani.wordpress.com/2008/02/22/selling-stocks-short-permissible/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Feb 2008 05:18:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>diahdani</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economic & financial]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[by Dr. Monzer Kahf, a prominent economist and counselor &#8220;Selling stock short is as follows: selling at the current price and borrowing the stock from the broker on interest. Stocks are delivered to the buyer at the time of the contract. At a later time, on the due date, stock is bought from the market [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=diahdani.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2914020&amp;post=5&amp;subd=diahdani&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>by <strong>Dr. Monzer Kahf</strong>, a prominent economist and counselor</p>
<p>&#8220;Selling stock short is as follows: selling at the current price and borrowing the stock from the broker on interest. Stocks are delivered to the buyer at the time of the contract. At a later time, on the due date, stock is bought from the market and delivered to the broker in return for the previous loan.</p>
<p>Obviously, this transaction is interest-based. The fact is that goods are not sold for future delivery, but are actually being sold that day and are being delivered (as borrowed from the broker) and then bought while still in the same condition, on the due date so as to repay the loan. The reason for its prohibition is obvious: it is interest based.</p>
<p>What is meant by selling other equities short? For instance, it is permissible to sell cars, corn and soft drinks while specifying delivery at a future time and place with cash payment at the time of the contract. In Islamic fiqh this is called <i>“salam”</i>, and it is permissible.&#8221; <br />
 </p>
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		<title>Fatwa regarding the stock market and its modern applications</title>
		<link>http://diahdani.wordpress.com/2008/02/22/fatwa-regarding-the-stock-market-and-its-modern-applications/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Feb 2008 05:17:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>diahdani</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economic & financial]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[by the European Council for Fatwa and Research The Members of the Council discussed the topic of stock markets (bourse) and the applications practiced in them, and dealing with the shares of stock companies and listened to the Shar`i as well as the economic studies submitted by some of the members and the discussions made [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=diahdani.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2914020&amp;post=4&amp;subd=diahdani&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>by the <b>European Council for Fatwa and Research</b></p>
<blockquote><p>The Members of the Council discussed the topic of stock markets (bourse) and the applications practiced in them, and dealing with the shares of stock companies and listened to the Shar`i as well as the economic studies submitted by some of the members and the discussions made about them. The Council then decided the following:</p>
<p>The European Council for Fatwa and Research (ECFR) confirms decision (7/1) 63 taken by the International Islamic Fiqh Academy concerning stock markets, adding some Shar`i viewpoints the Council chose, as follows:</p>
<p><b>The Decision of the International Islamic Fiqh Academy</b></p>
<p><b>A. Shares/stocks</b></p>
<p><b>1.</b> Participation in companies</p>
<ul><b>a.</b> Since dealings are lawful in principle, the establishment of stock companies that have lawful objectives and activities is permissible.</ul>
<ul><b>b.</b>There is no controversy about the prohibition of participating in companies whose basic objective is prohibited, such as dealing with interest or producing and trading prohibited products.</ul>
<ul><b>c.</b> In principle, it is forbidden to invest in stocks of companies that sometimes deal with prohibited transactions, such as interest and others, although their main line of business is lawful.</ul>
<p><b>A complementary decision taken by the ECFR</b></p>
<p>Concerning the Muslim minorities in the West—where there are no Islamic institutions or companies that have lawful objectives and activities—the ECFR decides that &#8220;there is no objection to their dealing with the shares of stock companies whose main objective is lawful and that avoid unlawful lines of business, such as breweries, pork, and gambling, even if these companies have interest-based deposits or loans or unlawful subordinate assets, provided that one observes the conditions set up by the Shar`i committees and by the fatwa given in the banking forums. They are as follows:</p>
<ul><b>1.</b> The loans from conventional banks should not exceed one-third the assets of the company.</ul>
<ul><b>2.</b> The interest earning must not make more than 5 percent of net earning.</ul>
<ul><b>3.</b> The unlawful assets should not exceed 10 percent of the total assets, provided that one should get rid of the interests and unlawful earning, whatever their proportion may be, through disposing of them for charitable purposes and that the circulation, in the case of increase in kind assets and benefits, should be confined to debts and cash.</ul>
<p>One should refer to the institutions approved by the legal (Shar`i) agencies to classify the acceptable companies, such as Islamic Dow Jones Index, which is approved by the Shar`i agency of the index and others.</p>
<p><b>2.</b> Underwriting</p>
<p>Underwriting is an agreement by a person to purchase all the remaining shares that are not purchased by existing stockholders. This is not forbidden according to Shari`ah if the agreement is to purchase the shares at the nominal value without any compensation for that agreement.</p>
<p>It is permissible for the committed person to receive compensation for an action he performs—other than underwriting—such as preparing studies or marketing shares.</p>
<p><b>3.</b> Paying the value of the share in installments on underwriting</p>
<p>It is not forbidden in terms of the Shari`ah to pay an installment of the value of the share(s) and postpone the payment of the other installments, for this is regarded as participation in what is paid in advance and the promise to increase the capital. This entails nothing unlawful because this covers all the shares, and the company remains responsible with all its declared capital before the others, for it is the amount agreed upon and known by the parties dealing with the company.</p>
<p><b>4.</b> Bearer shares</p>
<p>Since a bearer share is a common portion of the assets of the company, and the share certificate is a document to confirm this right in the portion, it is not forbidden in terms of Shari`ah to issue and circulate shares in the company in this way.</p>
<p><b>5.</b> The role of the contract in selling shares</p>
<p>The role of the contract in selling shares is the common portion in the assets of the company, and the certificate of the share is a document securing the right in that portion.</p>
<p><b>6.</b> Preference shares</p>
<p>It is impermissible to issue preference shares with financial properties that lead to guaranteeing the capital, a minimum return, or priority in paying at time of liquidation or on distributing the profits.</p>
<p>It is permissible to give privileges related to procedural or managerial matters to some shares.</p>
<p><b>7.</b> Dealing with the shares usuriously (i.e., in a <i>riba</i>-based manner)</p>
<ul><b>a.</b> It is impermissible to buy shares with a <i>riba</i>-based loan offered by a broker or somebody else to the buyer in exchange for mortgaging the share, because this involves <i>riba</i> and documenting it through the mortgage, and both deeds are unlawful in the light of the text that curses the eater of <i>riba</i>, the one offering <i>riba</i>, the one that writes the contract for <i>riba</i>, and the two witnesses to it.</ul>
<ul><b>b.</b> It is impermissible also to sell a share the seller does not possess, but the seller is promised by the broker that the latter will lend him the share at the time of delivery, for this belongs to the case of selling what the seller does not possess. The prohibition is stressed if the seller stipulates that the value be given to the broker to benefit by it through depositing it on interest to obtain compensation for lending.</ul>
<p><b>8.</b> Selling or mortgaging the share</p>
<p>It is permissible to sell or mortgage the share but in conformity with the rules of the company’s system, such as allowing the sale unconditionally, or conditional on observing the priority of the old shareholders to purchase the share. Similarly, allowing the partners to mortgage the common portion depends on referring to this in the system.</p>
<p><b>9.</b> The issuance of shares with issuance fees</p>
<p>It is not impermissible in terms of the Shari`ah to add a certain proportion to the value of the share to cover the expenses of issuance, as long as this proportion is appropriately estimated.</p>
<p><b>10.</b> Issuing shares with issue bonus or issue deduction</p>
<p>It is permissible to issue new shares to increase the capital of the company, if they are issued at the actual value of the old shares (according to the experts’ assessment of the assets of the company) or at the market value.</p>
<p><b>11.</b>The guarantee of the company to buy the shares (the ruling on which was postponed in the decision of the Academy)</p>
<p>The European Council for Fatwa and Research resolves that it is permissible for the company to issue an obligatory promise to buy the shares from some of their bearers during their period or on liquidation at the market value or at a value agreed upon on purchase. It is not permissible to promise to buy at the nominal value.</p>
<p>The rest of the decision of the Islamic Fiqh Academy, which the Council confirms:</p>
<p><b>12.</b> Determining the liability of the limited-stock company</p>
<p>It is not forbidden in terms of Shari`ah to establish a stock company with liability limited by its capital, for this is known to those who deal with the company, and due to this knowledge those who deal with the company become free from <i>gharar</i> (risk).</p>
<p>Nor is it impermissible in terms of Shari`ah for the liability of some shareholders to be unlimited in respect of the creditors without receiving compensation for this commitment. This is in companies including cooperative partners and partners with limited liability.</p>
<p><b>13.</b> Confining the circulation of the shares to authoritative brokers and stipulating fees for dealing in their markets</p>
<p>It is permissible for the relevant authorities to regulate the circulation of some shares, such as confining them to special brokers with permits to do the job, for this is among the official procedures that realize some legitimate interests.</p>
<p><b>B. Option trading</b></p>
<p><b>1.</b>The nature of the contract</p>
<p>Option contract means substitution for commitment to sell something well defined, or buying it at a specific price during a certain period of time or at a certain time, either directly or through an agency that guarantees the rights of both parties.</p>
<p><b>2.</b> Its ruling in terms of Shari`ah</p>
<p>Option contracts—as they are dealt with nowadays in the international stock markets—are innovated contracts that do not belong to any category of the known contracts of the Shari`ah. Since the contract does not involve a fund, a benefit, or a financial right that can be substituted for, the contract is impermissible in terms of the Shari`ah; and as such contracts are initially impermissible, they are impermissible to circulate.</p>
<p><b>C. Dealing with goods, currencies, and indices in organized markets</b></p>
<p><b>1.</b> Goods</p>
<p>Goods are dealt with in organized markets in one of the four following methods:</p>
<ul><b>a.</b> That the contract includes the right of the immediate delivery of the salable articles and the value, and the goods or receipts representing them should be in the possession of the seller and his hold. Such contract is permissible in terms of the Shari`ah with the known conditions of selling.</ul>
<ul><b>b.</b> That the contract includes the right of the immediate delivery of the salable articles and the value, and the possibility of the delivery thereof being guaranteed by the agency of the market. Such contract is permissible in terms of Shari`ah with the known conditions of selling.</ul>
<ul><b>c.</b>That the contract is for delivering a defined article in one’s debt at a deferred date and paying the value on delivery, and that it includes a condition that the contract ends upon delivery and receipt. This type of contract is impermissible because of the determent of the two exchanged things. This contract can be amended to comply with the known conditions of <i>salam</i> (full payment at the time of the contract) whereupon the contract becomes permissible. It is also impermissible to sell an article that is bought by <i>salam</i> before receiving it.</ul>
<ul><b>d.</b> That the contract is for delivering a defined article in one’s debt at a deferred date and paying the value on delivery, without including a condition that the contract ends upon delivery and receipt of the article, but can be settled with an opposite contract. This is the more common type in the goods market, and it is primarily impermissible.<b>2.</b> Trading currencies</p>
<p>Trading currencies in the organized markets is practiced in one of the four abovementioned methods followed in trading goods. It is impermissible to purchase or sell currencies according to the third and fourth methods.</p>
<p>As to the first and second methods, it is permissible to purchase and sell currencies conditional on observing the known conditions of <i>sarf</i> (currency exchange).</p>
<p><b>3.</b> Dealing with the index</p>
<p>The index is a calculation, by a special statistical method, to find out the size of change in a certain market; dealings with it are carried on in some international markets. It is impermissible to buy or sell the index because it is pure gambling, and it is just the process of selling something imaginative that cannot exist.</p>
<p><b>The Shar`i alternative to unlawful transactions in goods and currencies</b></p>
<p>An Islamic market for goods and currencies should be organized on the basis of dealings permitted in the Shari`ah, particularly <i>bay` al-salam</i> (payment in advance), <i>sarf</i> (currency exchange), promise to sell at a deferred date, and <i>istisna`</i> (custom order).</p>
<p>The Council opines that it is necessary to undertake a comprehensive study of the conditions of these alternatives and the methods of applying them in an Islamic organized market.</ul>
</blockquote>
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		<title>Investing in stock market: the Shariah way</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Feb 2008 05:17:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>diahdani</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economic & financial]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[by The Milli Gazette Online Islamic economists and financial experts agree that if certain conditions are met, it is lawful to invest in the stock market. Any earnings that result from such investments will be halal. The logic behind this argument is that when one purchases shares in a company he actually becomes a shareholder [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=diahdani.wordpress.com&amp;blog=2914020&amp;post=3&amp;subd=diahdani&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font face="Tahoma">by </font><font face="Tahoma"><a href="http://www.milligazette.com/" title="Indian Muslim Islamic News online media web site"><font color="#000000">The Milli Gazette Online</font></a></font></p>
<p><font face="Tahoma">Islamic economists and financial experts agree that if certain conditions are met, it is lawful to invest in the stock market. Any earnings that result from such investments will be halal. The logic behind this argument is that when one purchases shares in a company he actually becomes a shareholder and thus becomes a partner in the business. Thus, this arrangement is akin to the Islamic concept of <i>musharakah</i>. However, there are a host of conditions that must be satisfied before one is allowed to invest in stocks. To start with, one must be sure that the business of the corporation/company offering the stock must be halal. Over and above this, shariah scholars have developed certain financial parameters for stocks selection. These are mainly related to the capital structure of the company. The purpose of these criteria is to determine the level of involvement of riba (interest) and gharar (uncertainty) in the overall business of the company.</font><font face="Tahoma">One should keep in mind that these criteria are the results of modern fiqh scholarship (<i>ijtihad</i>) and therefore, should be seen to represent the current state of thinking on the issue. In that way, they represent the maximum tolerance levels and not the last word on the subject. In short, if a Muslim investor is contemplating investment in the stock market, he must not only be careful about the profitability but also about the compliance of shariah. These can be done by looking at the nature of business, percentage of income from interest and the financial soundness of the company. While there are a number of tools available to help understand the financial soundness of a company there are not many that can guide an investor in determining the shariah compliance of a stock. Following screening patterns may be helpful in determining the shariah compliance of stocks.</font><font face="Tahoma"><b>Islamic Investment Criteria</b></p>
<p></font><font face="Tahoma"><i>A. Qualitative Screens</i><br />
There are two types of qualitative screens:<br />
<b>i. Industry screening</b>: Is the company in a business that is prohibited or abhorred in Islam? Apart from investment in banking and finance there are a number of business activities that are considered to be prohibited in Islam, and thus investing in these kinds of businesses is not something a Muslim would like to undertake such as alcoholic beverages, pork and pork products, tobacco products, gambling, lottery, pornography and adult oriented material, prostitution and drugs etc.<br />
<b>ii. Business practices</b>: Following shariah principles are applicable to investing and trading practices applicable to individual investors as well as Islamic financial institutions:</font><font face="Tahoma">a. Investible funds must be free of interest based debt:<br />
The investor cannot borrow on interest to finance his investments, and therefore cannot trade on margin i.e., borrow to purchase shares. Conventional hedge funds, arbitrage funds, and leveraged buy-out (LBO) funds are prohibited for Islamic investors as they all borrow heavily in order to finance their investment practices.</font><font face="Tahoma">b. Prohibition of speculation<br />
Unlike conventional investors Muslims cannot base their investment decisions on short-term speculation. They cannot enter the market as speculators but only as investors.</p>
<p><b>B. Quantitative Screens</b></p>
<p></font><font face="Tahoma">There are three types of quantitative screens:<br />
<b>i. Debt/Asset Ratio:<br />
</b>Has the company borrowed funds on interest? Ideally there should be no interest-based debt, but based on the Islamic legal principle &#8220;li al-akthar hukm al-kul&#8221; (to the majority goes the verdict of the whole) and subsequent scholarly opinions, a company is not a permissible investment if debt financing is more than 33% of its capital. This could be calculated as Total Debt divided by Trailing 12-Month Average Market Capitalization (where Total Debt = Short-Term Debt + Current Portion of Long-Term Debt + Long-Term Debt).</font><font face="Tahoma"><i>ii.Interest-related Income<br />
</i>Does the company generate any interest or interest-related income? This only includes those companies which do not make earning interest their business, but place their surplus funds in investments that yield interest income. As in the previous case, ideally no income should come from interest-related sources. However, looking at the current situation shariah scholars have permitted to invest in stocks of companies whose income from interest forms less than 5% of a company&#8217;s total income. Some scholars have fixed that ceiling at 10% of a company’s total income.</font><font face="Tahoma"><i>iii. Monetary Assets</i><b><br />
</b>To invest in shariah compliant companies, one has to be very careful about company&#8217;s monetary assets. Accounts receivables and liquid assets such as bank accounts and marketable securities have to be below the limits fixed by shariah scholars for the investment to be permissible. Some scholars have set this minimum at 51% whereas the majority of shariah scholars agree that &#8220;Accounts Receivables&#8221; should not be over 45% of company&#8217;s total assets (where Accounts Receivables = Current Receivables + Long-Term Receivables).</p>
<p><b>C. Trading Practices</b></p>
<p></font><font face="Tahoma"><i>i. Day Trading</i><b><br />
</b>Day trading has little to do with actual investing. Usually day traders watch the market and buy and sell on short-term price fluctuation (normally within one day). For this reason, a number of Islamic scholars have termed this as closer to gambling and thus it is prohibited.</font><font face="Tahoma"><i>ii. Margin Trading:<br />
</i>Margin trading is buying stocks using money loaned from the broker. Interest is paid for this loan, and therefore it is prohibited. Moreover this is a very risky (and complicated) practice, as one can lose more than what he has borrowed.</font><font face="Tahoma"><i>iii. Derivatives &#8211; Options and Futures<br />
</i>Option is purchasing the right to buy or sell a stock or a commodity at a future date for a fixed price (regardless of the then prevailing price in the market). Exercising this option means buying at the price set in the past. Not exercising the option results in the investor paying the option fee. A great majority of scholars are of the opinion that Futures trading is not permitted in Islam.</p>
<p><i>iv. Short Selling:<br />
</i>Short selling is borrowing a stock from the brokerage firm and selling it in anticipation that the stock price will further go down. Once the prices are a bit stabilised the stock is purchased back to square up the sale transaction. Thus, the investor as a “shorter” keeps the difference. This transaction involves huge risk that almost has no upper limits. Moreover, from shariah point of view you cannot sell what you do not posses.</p>
<p><i>The author is PhD in Islamic Economics. At present he is Investment Consultant and Joint Editor Islamic Economics Bulletin. </i></p>
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